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Covid 19 - diskusija & offtopic

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Setih se sad ovog Hrvata koga sam čitao još pre par nedelja na temu - pustiti virus da se širi vs potpuni karantin. Naravno situacija se izmenila donekle u medjuvremenu pa vidimo da su i UK i USA prihvatile da neće pustiti virus da se širi nesmetano, ali recimo primer Švedske je suprotan, ono što je ključno jeste ova dilema vlastodržaca bilo gde da li bi s jedne strane mogli da izdrže pritisak zbox x hiljada smrti koje možda nisu morale da se dese a za koje će ih direktno optužiti mediji i javnost i sa druge strane da li se može precizno proceniti smrtnost od virusa... 

 

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"ono što je ključno jeste ova dilema vlastodržaca bilo gde da li bi s jedne strane mogli da izdrže pritisak zbox x hiljada smrti koje možda nisu morale da se dese a za koje će ih direktno optužiti mediji i javnost i sa druge strane da li se može precizno proceniti smrtnost od virusa..."

rečenica za pulicera

misao pretočena na papir, izvinjavam se


"...The End. There's nothin' after Z. Used to be one more page in here though, before someone tore it out. Know what it said?
The last page was about the author. Didn't say much. But the imagination has a way of fillin' in the gaps."

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na worldometers su uveli novi stats, broj testoova i broj testova / milion.

Iako sam msilio da AV masinerija dobro hendluje, sad se vidi da su lagali i za respratore, i za testiranja, sad krece da lueta svaki dan, uzas.

Elem malo teksta oko italije :

 

  • 4805 new cases and 681 new deaths in Italy. The number of patients hospitalized in intensive care has declined for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic in Italy

    The target of bringing down the reproductive number (R0) to 1 has been reached. Now the goal is to bring it below 1. Earlier in the epidemic, it was as high as 3. This value represents the average number of people to which a single infected person will transmit the virus. An epidemic with a reproductive number below 1 will gradually disappear

    An estimated 30,000 lives have been saved as an effect of the lockdown measures, according to Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS) [source] [source]

April 3 (GMT)

  • Italy: the real number of COVID-19 cases in the country could be 5,000,0000 (compared to the 119,827 confirmed ones) according to a study which polled people with symptoms who have not been tested, and up to 10,000,000 or even 20,0000,000 after taking into account asymptomatic cases, according to Carlo La Vecchia, a Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology at the Statale di MilanoUniversity.

    This number would still be insufficient to reach herd immunity, which would require 2/3 of the population (about 40,000,000 people in Italy) having contracted the virus [source].

    The number of deaths could also be underestimated by 3/4 (in Italy as well as in other countries) [source], meaning that the real number of deaths in Italy could be around 60,000.

    If these estimates were true, the mortality rate from COVID-19  would be much lower (around 25 times less) than the case fatality rate based solely on laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths, since it would be underestimating cases (the denominator) by a factor of about 1/100 and deaths by a factor of 1/4.

 


You may have gone to Cambridge, but I'm an honorary graduate of Starfleet Academy

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51 minutes ago, f4ts0 said:

Iako sam msilio da AV masinerija dobro hendluje, sad se vidi da su lagali i za respratore, i za testiranja, sad krece da lueta svaki dan, uzas.

Шта лупета?


Mislim da sam frustriran zbog svega od navedenog, kako si me procitao, ciganmala frojdovac.

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Quote

Epidemiolog Predrag Kon prokomentarisao je meru potpunog karantina kazavši da bi ona mogla biti izbegnuta ako bismo se svi ponašali kao da je već na snazi.

post-42638-0-23937000-1392298957.jpg

DVE HILJADE ZA GOSPODINA!!!!!!!!

konkuriše Pelemišu za najizjavu u doba korone.


MORTALIS HOMO AURA PER KHARONE SERVA

Style over subsistence

Crown of Light. Keeper of The Yoda Chamber. I&I, Righteous Army of One.

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Заправо не. Када не би излазили са гајбе, осим када је ургентно, не би било неопходно изрицати забрану свима.

 

 


Mislim da sam frustriran zbog svega od navedenog, kako si me procitao, ciganmala frojdovac.

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Pa izlaze i ovde nego je u pitanju klasično jedenje govana da se skrene pažnja s problema.

Kao ona seljačka logika "u Knez Mihajlovoj puno -> niko ništa ne radi u Beogradu", a to što u Knez Mihajlovoj kad je puno nema ni 0,1% beogradske populacije, nema veze, jebeš brojeve.

  • Vudu +1 2

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Naravno da seru sranje. Kod nas ovde, smatram da je u  najvecem delu proveincije isto, ljudi izlaze samo kad moraju (tipa kupovina i slicno). Guzve nema, redova ima, ali zbog ogranicenog ulaska u objekte. Ako uvedu 24h i dozvole kupovinu svaka 2-3 dana, samo moze biti gore, guzve ce biti nenormalne, vise ljudi ce biti u kontaktu, u duzem vremenskom periodu. 

Ako ima pametnjakovica onoliko koliko vlast kuka, posalji lepo policiju, razdeli kazne. Zajebi kuknjavu.


The rain makes such a lovely sound

To those who're six feet underground

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ma koje bre kazne

nekog zemljoradnika strpali u ćuzu na 3 meseca sad, a đani buraz ima nanogicu + može da izađe kada ima nastup

 

serem se u državu mrtvu i svaki aparat posrani majku im svima jebem

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"...The End. There's nothin' after Z. Used to be one more page in here though, before someone tore it out. Know what it said?
The last page was about the author. Didn't say much. But the imagination has a way of fillin' in the gaps."

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https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=253495122713232&id=118243969571682

Мора неко да се окриви, гастоси више нису занимљиви.


Naposletku ti si navek znala da sam svirac,brosic sto se tesko pribada,da me moze oduvati najblazi nemirac,da cu u po reci stati,da se necu osvrtati nikada...

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Каже Неша Слина да је Ђани пао за кршење дозвољеног броја људи на истом месту, да није било кршења полицјског часа.


Mislim da sam frustriran zbog svega od navedenog, kako si me procitao, ciganmala frojdovac.

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pokršim im mame svima

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"...The End. There's nothin' after Z. Used to be one more page in here though, before someone tore it out. Know what it said?
The last page was about the author. Didn't say much. But the imagination has a way of fillin' in the gaps."

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То офц, али би било критичније да за њих важе друга правила, сад кад су изашли јавно.

Сад мене занима да ли лаже, то би било најкритичније.


Mislim da sam frustriran zbog svega od navedenog, kako si me procitao, ciganmala frojdovac.

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ma sigurno govori istinu, šta ti je


"...The End. There's nothin' after Z. Used to be one more page in here though, before someone tore it out. Know what it said?
The last page was about the author. Didn't say much. But the imagination has a way of fillin' in the gaps."

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setio sam se na koga me podseća ova zwerkova vrhunska misao sa početka strane

znate ono pitanje što je momčina iz srpskog telegrafa postavio vučeli, e pa to, okačiću kada nađem


"...The End. There's nothin' after Z. Used to be one more page in here though, before someone tore it out. Know what it said?
The last page was about the author. Didn't say much. But the imagination has a way of fillin' in the gaps."

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15 hours ago, Dule_smor said:

Nigga pls, Nestor objasnjava...edit, Draletu kazem

ne znam ko je jači...

- za onog ko umre smrtnost je 100%

- karantin 24 časa ne mora da se uvede ako se ponašamo kao da je već uveden

- sirotinja može samo život da izgubi (hehe), sirotinja nema šta da izgubi


MORTALIS HOMO AURA PER KHARONE SERVA

Style over subsistence

Crown of Light. Keeper of The Yoda Chamber. I&I, Righteous Army of One.

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Mislio sam, nadao se nekako da barem sada nece lagati i varati u ovakvoj situaciji. Ali ovaj covek je ipak najveca nesreca sto nas je ikad zakacila
1025750952_Screenshot2020-04-07at10_55_12.thumb.png.4f9e770f990d5ffa91929f7344717cd1.png

Danas je 7 april :

537330390_Screenshot2020-04-07at10_53_35.thumb.png.faa0ef9af44d0e665d876fcf96fd4661.png


You may have gone to Cambridge, but I'm an honorary graduate of Starfleet Academy

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